Discussion
In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we collected all articles describing the epidemiology of CAP in Japan that were available in public databases and investigated the aetiological micro-organisms. The results showed that (1) S. pneumoniae was the most common pathogen (around 20%), although a wide range of atypical pathogens was also seen; (2) S. aureus was more frequently isolated in CAP requiring hospitalisation; (3) S. aureus and P. aeruginosa were more frequently isolated in elderly patients; (4) isolation of viruses is also common in CAP and an exhaustive examination for viruses can significantly change the epidemiology of the disease; (5) the isolation rates of MRSA and PRGNB observed in CAP mean that treatment should be considered while being cognizant of AMR and (6) although no difference was observed between the isolation frequency of S. pneumoniae before 2000 and after 2010, the isolation frequency of PRGNB was found to be on the rise.
CAP is one of the most commonly encountered infectious diseases in clinical practice,3 and the causative microbial epidemiology has been widely reported. However, as reported in other countries,2 even with aggressive traditional testing,8 the causative micro-organism could not be identified in about half of the cases reported in Japan. When the frequency of isolation was examined, the epidemiology varied between studies that included both inpatients and outpatients and those that were limited to inpatients. Specifically, the isolation frequency of atypical pathogens decreased, whereas that of S. aureus and P. aeruginosa increased in CAP requiring hospitalisation, consistent with reports from other countries.8 73 The higher isolation frequency in CAP requiring hospitalisation among elderly and critically ill patients contributed to the change in epidemiology. Although the epidemiology of CAP was based on the exclusion of patients with recent antimicrobial exposure and hospitalisation as much as possible, the underlying diseases and the antimicrobial therapy they received might have influenced the epidemiology, especially in elderly patients.1 7 74 Furthermore, because S. aureus tends to cause severe pneumonia75 and atypical pneumonia is less likely to result in hospitalisation,26 differences in the frequency of isolation can likely be seen when limited to CAP that requires hospitalisation.
In our meta-analysis, S. pneumoniae was the most common isolate, accounting for around 20% of CAP cases. Although the frequency of S. pneumoniae is known to vary by region worldwide, from about 30% in Europe to 15% in the USA, it has always been the most isolated common bacteria. The regional differences may be due in part to vaccination.76 77 In Japan, the estimated vaccination coverage of the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine among those aged 65 years and older was 26.8% in 2008. However, a subsequent campaign led to an estimated cumulative vaccination coverage of 74% in 2018,78 suggesting that vaccination is widely accepted. However, the meta-analysis showed that the actual isolation frequency during this period was about the same. It may be some time before we can discuss the impact of the vaccine on pneumococcal pneumonia prevalence, as it became a routine national immunisation programme in 2014, and annual vaccination rates have increased since then. Only a few papers mentioned AMR in S. pneumoniae, so trends in drug resistance could not be explored further.
S. aureus was isolated more frequently, especially in CAP requiring hospitalisation. MRSA was found in about 40% of such cases, which is an important finding, especially in severe cases of CAP. It remains an open question whether anti-MRSA therapy should be empirically added.79 Although a separate Japanese respiratory pathogen surveillance covered all lower respiratory tract infections, the MRSA rate for all S. aureus infections was still 48.3%,80 so MRSA in Japan cannot be ignored. The genotype of MRSA was not explored in this review.
In addition, only some specific references to AMR could be made in this systematic review and suggested that the frequency of PRGNB isolation is on the rise. However, trends in AMR could not be explored. Although rare as a causative micro-organism for CAP,7 the need to increase awareness of AMR in empiric therapy1 is nevertheless suggested, and future work should investigate trends in AMR.
Influenza affects an estimated 10 million people in Japan yearly,81 but influenza viruses have been detected in small numbers among adult CAP. Influenza vaccination coverage among persons aged 65 years and older has remained constant at around 40%–55% for the past 20 years.82 Furthermore, the use of anti-influenza drugs is widely recommended in Japan, which is presumed to have some effect on suppressing pneumonia.83 However, since rapid diagnostics are commonly used, the prevalence may be underestimated in terms of sensitivity.
Recent advances in viral testing methods have changed our understanding of pneumonia epidemiology.76 84–86 Although this study could not be fully validated due to the paucity of available references, it was confirmed that respiratory pathogen viruses are frequently detected in cases of CAP in Japan, as in other countries. While testing methods for determining that a virus is the definitive cause of CAP have not been fully established, and the pathogenicity of the detected viruses needs to be discussed separately,7 the epidemiology of pneumonia in terms of pathogen isolation is expected to change substantially in the future because genomic testing panels that can detect pan-respiratory pathogen viruses87 are being applied in respiratory tract infections in the COVID-19 era. Further high-quality surveillance of domestic adult CAP is expected through genomic testing. Furthermore, with the growing understanding of the microbiome, the concept of pneumonia and pathogen epidemiology is on the verge of change.88 89 Of course, not only advances in detection methods but also in the frequency of pathogens can change over time due to drug resistance and vaccines.
The limitations of this review and meta-analysis are as follows. (1) The quality of the articles and the detection techniques varied, so the frequency of atypical pathogens and viruses may not have been accurately reflected. This problem was resolved by conducting a separate analysis of viruses because the addition of an exhaustive PCR-based search for viruses was shown to significantly impact the epidemiological results. (2) When a multicentre study was included, case overlap with other published studies was possible. Although we eliminated duplications as much as possible in the full review, a certain degree of duplication cannot be ruled out. (3) HCAP/NHCAP cases were not adequately excluded, especially in articles published before the early 2000s. There is some debate as to whether it is necessary to distinguish between HCAP and NHCAP, and the primary direction has been to assess the risk of AMR according to individual risk factors; however, we chose to distinguish HCAP/NHCAP in this study on the basis that many included studies were conducted at a time when the HCAP/NHCAP distinction was widely accepted. In this systematic review, we would have used the intended HCAP/NHCAP exclusion criteria if they had been in place. (4) Some studies excluded severe CAP, but because the definition of severe CAP was not uniform across studies, it was not included in the exclusion criteria in this systematic review. (5) Many papers lacked sufficient precision about the distinction between carriers and causative organisms. For viruses in particular, a method for clearly distinguishing between them needs to be properly established. Regardless, the pathogenicity of the micro-organisms detected is controversial90 and was not considered in this study.