Discussion
This retrospective cohort study provides data on COPD exacerbations, HCRU and costs at a level not readily available from any other European country. COPD exacerbation rates were significantly reduced in the 6 months following a switch from MITT to FF/UMEC/VI compared with the 6 months pre-switch.
Switching from MITT to SITT is common in the UK.18 Patients may switch for clinical reasons (eg, following an exacerbation), but also for economic reasons. Compared with MITT, SITT with FF/UMEC/VI has been shown to be a cost-effective treatment option for symptomatic patients with COPD who have a history of one or more exacerbations in a UK setting.19
The findings of this study are complementary to the results of the INTREPID trial, which demonstrated significant improvements in health status and lung function in patients using SITT with FF/UMEC/VI versus MITT in routine clinical practice.5 Our results are similar to those reported in the USA by Hanania et al, which reported significant reductions in the rate of moderate and severe COPD exacerbations following a switch from MITT to FF/UMEC/VI.7 It should be noted that the role of self-management education in the post-switch reduction in exacerbations cannot be determined as this was not reported in the database used for this study.
In the analysis of exacerbation outcomes by MITT combination, we observed that the benefit of switching to FF/UMEC/VI was consistently seen, even when patients completely changed their device. Device continuity has been suggested to have important implications on COPD disease control and management;20 however, our results appear to suggest that the benefits of switching to a once-daily easy-to-use device outweigh any issues patients may face when switching devices.
For patients previously exacerbating on MITT, there is a greater clinical benefit of switching to single-inhaler FF/UMEC/VI compared with patients with no prior exacerbations, as indicated by the higher reduction in COPD exacerbation rates at 6 months compared with the full patient cohort. The rate of moderate-to-severe, moderate only and severe only COPD exacerbations decreased comparably, indicating that switching to FF/UMEC/VI had a comparable effect on all COPD exacerbation severities included within this study at 6 months.
This benefit was also seen at 12 months post-switch among patients with prior COPD exacerbations, as evidenced by significantly reduced RRs for moderate-to-severe, moderate only and severe only COPD exacerbations. In addition, the higher RRs for moderate-to-severe and severe only exacerbations at 12 months post-switch compared with 6 months post-switch among patients with prior COPD exacerbations suggests that switching to FF/UMEC/VI may be less effective at reducing COPD exacerbations if the interval from the last exacerbation is more than 6 months. This is supported by the findings of a recent retrospective cohort study, which found that compared with delayed initiation of FF/UMEC/VI following an exacerbation, prompt initiation was associated with fewer subsequent exacerbations.21 These findings could also be explained by the effects of a reduction in adherence to triple therapy over longer time periods, as shown previously by Halpin et al.6 However, further investigation is required as this study did not require patients to be continuously using FF/UMEC/VI post-switch, although the results of the sensitivity analysis (which required 6 months continual MITT use pre-switch and 6 months continual single-inhaler FF/UMEC/VI use post-switch) were similar to those for the overall cohort.
We observed that the clinical benefit of switching from MITT to FF/UMEC/VI was in line with the reduction of COPD-related resource and cost burden observed in the full patient cohort, as well as patients who had COPD exacerbations prior to switching. This is emphasised not only by the comparable reduction in COPD exacerbation rates, COPD resource use and costs in the full patient cohort, but also the increased clinical and economic benefit observed in the subgroup of patients with prior COPD exacerbations on MITT pre-switch.
An increase in all-cause inpatient stays and associated costs at both 6 and 12 months, and in A&E attendances and associated costs at 12 months post-switch, was observed in the entire cohort. A substantial percentage of the cohort had multiple comorbidities. Acute myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure and stroke were relatively common (all experienced by ≥12% of patients). This therefore increases the likelihood that these cost increases were due to secular trends independent of switching to FF/UMEC/VI.
There are several limitations which should be considered. Requiring ≥6 months of follow-up data may have introduced survivorship bias. The indexing period ended on 30 September 2019, and patients were therefore relatively early adopters of FF/UMEC/VI as EMA approval was received in November 2017; however, we required patients to be indexed early to avoid the COVID-19 pandemic period which would have biased results. Regression to the mean is also a potential bias of the pre-post study design.22 The lack of a comparison cohort for patients who did not switch to FF/UMEC/VI meant that some secular trends may not be controlled, for example, increasing all-cause HCRU over time. As is common to retrospective database analyses in COPD, there is the potential for misdiagnosis of COPD as asthma and vice versa, and we cannot know for certain that COPD MITT medications were not prescribed to treat asthma, as they are also indicated. In addition, only medications prescribed in the primary care setting were recorded in the study data used, although it is expected that COPD prescriptions initiated in an alternative care setting (eg, by a specialist) would be continued by a GP.