Ten-year prediction model for post-bronchodilator airflow obstruction and early detection of COPD: development and validation in two middle-aged population-based cohorts

Jennifer L Perret; Don Vicendese; Koen Simons; Debbie L Jarvis; Adrian J Lowe; Caroline J Lodge; Dinh S Bui; Daniel Tan; John A Burgess; Bircan Erbas; Adrian Bickerstaffe; Kerry Hancock; Bruce R Thompson; Garun S Hamilton; Robert Adams; Geza P Benke; Paul S Thomas; Peter Frith; Christine F McDonald; Tony Blakely; Michael J Abramson; E Haydn Walters; Cosetta Minelli; Shyamali C Dharmage

doi:10.1136/bmjresp-2021-001138

Article info

Respiratory epidemiology

Ten-year prediction model for post-bronchodilator airflow obstruction and early detection of COPD: development and validation in two middle-aged population-based cohorts

Authors

Jennifer L Perret Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaDepartment of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, The Austin Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaInstitute for Breathing and Sleep (IBAS), Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Don Vicendese Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaThe Department of Mathematics and Statistics, La Trobe University, Bundoora, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Koen Simons Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Debbie L Jarvis National Heart and Lung Institute (NHLI), Imperial College London, London, UK PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Adrian J Lowe Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Caroline J Lodge Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Dinh S Bui Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Daniel Tan Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
John A Burgess Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Bircan Erbas School of Psychology and Public Health, La Trobe University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Adrian Bickerstaffe Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Kerry Hancock Chandlers Hill Surgery, Adelaide, SA, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Bruce R Thompson Faculty of Health, Arts and Design, Swinburne University of Technology, Hawthorn, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Garun S Hamilton Department of Lung, Sleep, Allergy and Immunology, Monash Health, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaSchool of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Robert Adams Adelaide Institute for Sleep Health (AISH), Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Geza P Benke School of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Paul S Thomas Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Peter Frith College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Christine F McDonald Department of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, The Austin Hospital, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaInstitute for Breathing and Sleep (IBAS), Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Tony Blakely Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Michael J Abramson School of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
E Haydn Walters Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AustraliaSchool of Medicine, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Cosetta Minelli National Heart and Lung Institute (NHLI), Imperial College London, London, UK PubMed articles Google scholar articles
Shyamali C Dharmage Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global Health, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia PubMed articles Google scholar articles
on behalf of the TAHS and ECRHS Investigator Groups
Google scholar articles

Correspondence to Dr Jennifer L Perret; jennifer.perret{at}unimelb.edu.au

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Citation

Perret JL, Vicendese D, Simons K on behalf of the TAHS and ECRHS Investigator Groups, et al

Ten-year prediction model for post-bronchodilator airflow obstruction and early detection of COPD: development and validation in two middle-aged population-based cohorts

BMJ Open Respiratory Research 2021;8:e001138. doi: 10.1136/bmjresp-2021-001138

Publication history

Received November 1, 2021
Accepted November 15, 2021
First published December 2, 2021.

Online issue publication

July 13, 2022

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This web only file has been produced by the BMJ Publishing Group from an electronic file supplied by the author(s) and has not been edited for content.

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© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2021. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited, appropriate credit is given, any changes made indicated, and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/.

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